As advertised, the economy is turning in an underwhelming performance in the first quarter, dragged down by soft consumer spending. Since households are the economy’s main growth driver, many are fretting that the nation’s third-longest expansion, about to enter its tenth year, is nearing the end of the road. There are troubling signs that typically appear at the late stages of a business cycle. The Federal Reserve is leaning against the wind, raising short term interest rates and shrinking its balance sheet. Inflation is picking up and the job market is nearing, if not at, full
employment. In addition to these time-honored cyclical markers, the economy faces risks on the policy front, particularly regarding foreign relations and trade. April 2018 Economic and Financial Digest

Don’t Rule Out A Soft Landing
In real estate, they say that location is everything. In economics, timing is paramount. With prices rising at a pace not seen since the early